Bulk Shipping Watch Newsletter – August 2024

August 2024

Iron Ore & Steel

Rio Tinto, China firms keen on Guinea assets

Source: China Daily

Collaborating with Chinese companies to jointly develop Simandou, the high-grade iron ore deposit in Guinea, Africa, represents a unique opportunity amid increasing demand for higher-grade, lower-impurity iron ore as steelmakers seek to reduce carbon emissions worldwide, said a company executive. FULL STORY

Rising demand speeds up steel industry’s recast

Source: China Daily

Structural adjustment in China’s steel industry is accelerating to meet rising demand for steel from the automotive, shipbuilding and home appliance industries as well as emerging sectors like wind and solar power, said the China Iron and Steel Association recently. FULL STORY

China’s steel industry speeds up optimization of steel variety structure

Source: China Daily   

China’s steel industry has been accelerating the optimization of steel variety structure in pace with the adjustment and optimization of national industrial structures, the China Iron and Steel Industry Association (CISA) said Wednesday. FULL STORY

Fading China optimism hits iron ore prices, but not yet volumes: Russel

Source: Zawya

China’s iron or futures suffered their worst one-day price drop for almost two years on Monday, but the evaporating optimism in the market has yet to show up in imports of the key raw material for making steel. FULL STORY

Global steel prices to trend lower on uncertain China demand recovery, study say

Source: Zawya

Global average steel prices are likely to trend downwards as China’s domestic demand is expected to soften owing to a sluggish property sector, a report by Fitch Solutions unit BMI said on Thursday. The research firm lowered its 2024 global average steel price forecast to $660/ton from $700/ton. FULL STORY

Dalian iron ore tumbles to one-year low on China demand worrie

Source: Shipping Herald

Dalian iron ore futures fell for the fifth straight session on Thursday to hit their lowest in more than a year, as a batch of weak Chinese economic data darkened prospects of demand from the world’s top consumer of the steel ingredient. FULL STORY

Liberia conditionally lifts shutdown order on China Union iron ore Bong Mine

Source: Market Screener

Liberia conditionally lifted a shutdown order on China Union’s iron ore Bong Mines, the government said in a statement on Wednesday. FULL STORY

China’s bulging commodity stockpiles show depth of economic woe

Source: Minning

Inventories of key raw materials are piling up in China, evidence that economic activity remains too feeble to clear a surplus that’s crushing prices from steel to soybeans. FULL STORY

World’s biggest steel producer warns of ‘severe’ industry crisis

Source: Mining

The world’s biggest steel producer sounded the alarm about an industry crisis in China that carries the potential to ripple around the globe and plunge the sector into a deeper downturn. Conditions in China’s steel sector are like a “harsh winter” that will be “longer, colder and more difficult to endure than we expected,” China Baowu Steel Group Corp. chairman Hu Wangming told staff at the company’s half-year meeting, warning of a worse challenge than major traumas in 2008 and 2015. FULL STORY

Outlook darkens for China’s already weak steel output: Russell

Source: Zawya

China’s steel output slumped in July and is likely to continue to fall in coming months as mills struggle for profits amid sluggish demand and look to comply with government guidance that ensures annual production shows no growth. FULL STORY

China’s steel export downtrend persists in July; traders wary of shrinking overseas deman

Source: SP Global

China’s finished steel exports in July were down month-on-month for the second straight month to 7.827 million mt, reaching the second lowest level so far in 2024, although they were still up 7.1% on the year, customs data showed Aug. 7. FULL STORY

Coal

China’s coal-rich province sees 14.7% foreign trade growth in Jan-July

Source: China Daily

The total imports and exports of goods in North China’s coal-rich Shanxi province grew 14.7 percent year-on-year to 101.2 billion yuan (about $14.2 billion) in the first seven months of 2024, official data showed Saturday.  FULL STORY

Coal businesses see record high in social responsibility

Source: China Daily

A record high of 73 coal enterprises released their social responsibility reports at the “coal industry corporate social responsibility report launch” event this year in Beijing on Thursday, organized by the China National Coal Association. FULL STORY

Column: China’s coal output rises as share of electricity slips

Source: Mining

China’s production of coal is rising while its share of electricity generation is declining, a seeming contradiction that will likely result in lower imports volumes and cheaper prices. FULL STORY

China’s 2024 coal imports to reach new record high, industry group says

Source: Mining

A key Chinese coal industry group said on Wednesday it expects coal imports this year to reach at least 500 million metric tons, exceeding previous record highs and forecasts by market participants. FULL STORY

China’s July coal output up 3.8% y/y

Source: Brecorder

China’s coal output rose 2.8% year-on-year in July as mines ramped up production to ensure steady supply during the month’s record-breaking heat, statistics bureau data showed on Thursday. FULL STORY

China’s July coal imports rise to seven-month high

Source: Mining Weekly

China’s coal imports rose to a seven-month high in July, General Administration of Customs data showed on Wednesday, as traders took contracted cargoes to coincide with China’s peak power demand season, when hot weather drives up air conditioning use. FULL STORY

China accelerates coal mining to ensure winter power supply: Kemp

Source: Zawya

Coal-fired generation remains critical to ensuring the reliability of electricity supplies – especially in the winter, when hydro and solar output is much lower and the system depends far more heavily on fossil energy. FULL STORY

Soybean

Grain productivity remains strong despite rain disruption

Source: China Daily

Early rice production in China experienced a slight decline due to heavy rainfall, yet it has consistently exceeded 28 million metric tons for the fourth consecutive year, demonstrating overall stability, according to data released by the National Bureau of Statistics, or NBS, on Friday.  FULL STORY

China’s palm oil imports will exceed one million tons from August to October

Source: Ukr Agro Consult

Imports of palm oil in China from August to October will exceed 1 million 80 thousand tons, according to China’s national grain and oil information center. The volume of purchases is due to the increase in profits from palm oil imports recently, against this background enterprises are increasing their purchases in foreign markets. Monitoring of ship schedules shows that the expected palm oil arrivals at Chinese ports from August to October will be 300,000 tons, 360,000 tons and 420,000 tons, respectively.  FULL STORY

China Proposes New Curbs on Grain Imports to Boost Local Prices

Source: Ukr Agro

Consult China is asking domestic traders to buy less foreign grains as ample supplies and weaker-than-expected demand weigh on prices and threaten its longstanding policy to support local growers. FULL STORY

China continues large-scale intercropping of corn and soybeans

Source: Tridge

Dingxi County in Gansu Province, China, is promoting the co-planting of soybeans and corn, with the goal of boosting grain production and reducing emissions. The county has adopted a soybean-corn strip planting model, which has shown to increase yield and profit. The province has also introduced a comprehensive plan to boost grain production, including the recommendation of 110 excellent varieties, development of ways to improve yields, and financial support for grain production. The county plans to continue promoting co-planting and optimizing models based on various factors. FULL STORY

According to COFCO, Brazil’s soybean area will grow at the slowest rate in a decade in 2024/25

Source: Ukr Agro Consult

China’s COFCO International expects area under soybeans in Brazil in 2024/25 to grow at the slowest pace in a decade compared with the previous season, a top company executive told Reuters. FULL STORY

China to lift restrictions on Kazakh grain imports to bonded zone

Source: Ukr Agro Consult

The agitated situation, which was formed on the background of information about the introduction of severe restrictions on grain imports by China, is beginning to be clarified. For a long time market participants were waiting for official confirmation of the ban from China, but it was not forthcoming. As we learned, the competent authorities of China have revealed internal violations among their companies. As soon as the order is put in order, duty-free grain supplies to the bonded zone of China will resume, reports the agency “APK News”. FULL STORY

China makes new soybean purchases from the US and Brazil, marking another week of good demand news

Source: Tridge

The USDA reported strong sales of soybeans and meal, with 132 thousand tons to China and 100 thousand tons to Colombia from the 2024/25 harvest. This comes as good news for the North American soybean market, which has seen a surge in demand, with China purchasing 23 ships of soybeans this week alone. However, the increased demand has also driven up prices, leading some buyers to seek cheaper options in Brazil. In Brazil, farmers have been selling a significant amount of new crop soybeans, with prices ranging from R$106.00 in Mato Grosso to R$115.00 in Goiás. FULL STORY

China’s road to Agricultural Self-sufficiency; reshaping markets and creating opportunities

Source: Hellenic Shipping News

China, a major demand center and driver of global agricultural markets, is actively pursuing an ambitious goal of achieving self-sufficiency in agriculture, but not without disrupting markets. FULL STORY

China’s corn imports from US set to rise 67.6% in 2024-25 on higher Brazilian prices

Source: SP Global

China is expected to increase its corn imports from the US by 67.6% year on year in marketing year 2024-25, while reducing supplies from Brazil by 48.8% compared with the previous year, according to the latest forecast from analysts at S&P Global Commodity Insights. FULL STORY

China’s wheat imports from Russia have increased almost eightfold in 7 months

Source: Grain Protrade

China has imports of Wheat and Barley from Russia increased significantly from January to July 2024 compared to the same period in 2023. At the same time, purchases of Corn has declined sharply, reports Interfax. FULL STORY

China’s soybean processing volume will reach 9 million tons in August

Source: Tridge

China’s National Grain and Oil Information Center reported that soybean stocks at domestic oil mills have increased, exceeding 7 million tons by the end of July. The country’s ports are expected to receive large quantities of imported soybeans in the coming months, with 8 million tons expected to arrive in August and 7.6 million tons in September. Soybean processing is projected to be around 9 million tons monthly. However, soybean oil mill output increased in August, while soybean meal supply remained weak, putting pressure on market growth. The country also reported record soybean meal stocks, with 1.38 million tons, up 29% from the previous month and 86.5% from the same period last year. FULL STORY

China triples US soybean imports in July, customs data shows

Source: Tridge

In July, China’s imports of U.S. soybeans surged to 475,392 tonnes, tripling from the previous year as the U.S. growing season resumed. Despite this increase, Brazilian soybeans continue to dominate the market, with imports slightly decreasing to 9.12 million tonnes. From January to July, China imported 43.55 million tonnes of Brazilian soybeans, a 12% rise from last year, while U.S. imports dropped by 25% to 12.63 million tonnes. Lower global prices have spurred increased purchases by China’s crushers, even amid weak demand for animal feed. The U.S. Department of Agriculture has projected a record 4.589 billion bushels for the 2024/25 soybean crop. FULL STORY

China grains output faces drought threat that may stoke imports

Source: AJOT

Drought is threatening China’s grains output, which may force it to re-enter the global market after staying away from major purchases in recent months due to oversupply and sluggish consumption. Wheat and corn production in the new season is forecast to fall, as drought in parts of northern China — a key grains hub — has reduced crop yields and delayed planting, according to BOABC, a Beijing-based agriculture consultancy. FULL STORY

Energy

China Merchants orders 10 tankers at DSIC

Source: Shipping Herald

China Merchants Energy Shipping (CMES) officially announced a major step forward in its fleet expansion and sustainability efforts. Through its fully-owned subsidiary, Associated Maritime Co Ltd (AMCL), CMES signed contracts with Dalian Shipbuilding Industry Co., Ltd. for the construction of 10 next-generation energy-efficient oil tankers. This investment, totaling approximately RMB 6.638 billion, reflects CMES’ continued commitment to environmental responsibility and global competitiveness. FULL STORY

Passed the peak? China’s crude oil imports trend down: Russell

Source: Zawya

The world’s biggest oil importer brought in record volumes last year, a feat that seems unlikely to be repeated in 2024 given the decline in arrivals in the first seven months. FULL STORY

Chinese company secures major Brazilian oil contract

Source: China Daily

China National Offshore Oil Corporation announced on Tuesday that it had successfully secured a long-term contract for the trade of 12 million barrels of crude oil from the Mero oilfield, the third largest pre-salt ultra-deepwater oil field in the world. FULL STORY

China shortlists first set of 33 projects under domestic voluntary carbon market

Source: SP Global

Shortlisted projects translate into 9.67 MMt CO2e of annual CCER supply. Majority of CCERs from offshore wind projects with 10-year crediting periods. Double-counting issue with renewable energy certificates needs resolution. FULL STORY

CHINA DATA: July crude imports from Russia lowest since Dec 2022 at 1.76 mil b/d

Source: SP Global

Russian supplies 248,000 b/d more than Saudi Arabia in July. Jan-July Russian shipments up 2.7% at 2.15 mil b/d. Canadian crude up 20% on month as PetroChina, Sinopec take AWB. FULL STORY


South Korean refiners wary of China’s oil product export quota usage amid fragile margins

Source: SP Global

South Korean refiners are generally content with a slight improvement in refining margin so far in the third quarter but China’s ample clean oil product export quotas and tepid regional economic activity pose a serious threat to the overall cracks and export margins, industry sources said Aug. 13-16. FULL STORY

Oil demand seeing ‘major deceleration’ led by China: IEA

Source: SP Global

The world is seeing a major deceleration in oil demand growth led by China, with inventories set to rise next year even if OPEC+ were to postpone its plans to ease output cuts, the International Energy Agency said Aug. 13. FULL STORY

CHINA DATA: July crude oil imports drop to 10.01 mil b/d, lowest since Sep 2022

Source: SP Global

China’s crude oil imports dropped to 10.01 million b/d (42.34 million mt) in July, the lowest since 9.83 million b/d in September 2022, data from the General Administration of Customs showed Aug. 7, pointing to weak demand from the world’s second biggest economy. FULL STORY

China, South Korea are top destinations for US LNG in July as Europe’s market share drops

Source: SP Global

China and South Korea were the top destinations for US LNG delivered in July, as flows of American volumes to Europe dropped to their lowest level since September 2021, an S&P Global Commodity Insights analysis showed Aug. 2. FULL STORY

Chinese firm inks MoU on building modern oil refinery in South Sudan

Source: Xin Hua

Chinese firm Shengli Oilfield Keer Engineering and Construction Company (SOKEC) on Friday signed an agreement with South Sudan’s state-owned Nile Petroleum Corporation (NILEPET) to construct modern oil refinery and storage facilities in South Sudan. FULL STORY